Local eyes on global threats.

ground truth, as it happens.

Verified, timestamped, geolocated incident data from vetted local reporters. Live the moment it's reported, then AI-triaged and human-verified.

The analogy

the world's threat data is a jigsaw puzzle.

Every incident on the ground is a piece. Complete the puzzle and you're looking at the real picture: what's actually happening, everywhere, right now. Scroll to watch four different approaches try to assemble it, and see exactly where each one leaves the picture incomplete.

Placed pieceA real incident, reported from the ground.
Missing pieceIt happened. Nobody has found it yet.
Modelled piecePainted in by a model. Never verified.
Verified firstReported, human-confirmed, placed first.
Scroll to watch it assemble
01/05The problemThe missing piece

somewhere, a piece just fell into place.

A protest turns violent. A pipeline is hit. A border shuts. The picture of the world just changed by one piece, and right now that piece exists in exactly one place: in the hands, and the phone, of the person standing where it happened.

Every threat dataset on earth is missing a piece it doesn't yet know is missing. What happens next is the whole story: how long until someone finds it, and who gets there first.

The global threat picture23 / 24 placed
1 piece, held on the ground
One phone, one person, standing where it happened.
◆ the global threat picture, assembling livescroll to advance ↓
Products

one crowd. three data products.

Every product is powered by the same asset: a global network of vetted local reporters submitting verified incidents the moment they occur. The same data feeds Crowd Threat, Crowd Survey, and Crowd Signal, each calibrated for a different analytical need.

Live · Global

Crowd Threat

Real-time verified incident data

What it does

A global network of local reporters submits verified, timestamped incidents before they surface on open-source channels. Delivered via platform dashboard or REST API.

Who it serves
  • Security & intelligence teams
  • Corporate risk & resilience
  • Insurance underwriters
  • API platform builders
Explore Crowd Threat
Coming soon

Crowd Survey

30-day forward stability forecasting

What it does

Crowd Survey's Stability Vector aggregates 7 leading indicators (security sentiment, governance confidence, economic stress, protest likelihood and more) to produce a weekly forward stability score for every country we cover.

Who it serves
  • Government & strategic advisors
  • Political risk analysts
  • Insurance & reinsurance
  • ESG & sovereign debt investors
Explore Crowd Survey
Coming soon

Crowd Signal

Event data for prediction markets

What it does

Crowd Signal maps every verified incident to live prediction market legs, surfacing the alpha window before the information reaches open-source channels. Includes probability bars, 24-hour deltas, and structured callouts.

Who it serves
  • Prediction market traders
  • Systematic alpha funds
  • Geopolitical event analysts
  • Quantitative researchers
Explore Crowd Signal
Shared foundation

All three products are built on the same verified incident data. Subscribe to Crowd Threat, Crowd Survey, or Crowd Signal, or combine them for the full data stack.

Book a demo
94.1%Verification rate
65%Live within 30 minutes of the incident
16,000+Threat reports in September 2026
4×Monthly report volume since January
Time from incident to live record · October 20266,014 reports
Before it happened5.4%0–15 min23.5%16–30 min36.1%31–60 min11.9%1–2 h4.4%2–24 h16.4%24 h +2.3%
The data

every incident. one structured record.

No reports to read, no analyst opinion to filter. Each incident arrives as a clean, consistent record your systems can use straight away.

  • Precise coordinates and reported timestamp
  • Category from seven incident types
  • Live status and confidence score
  • Full verification audit trail
REST APIWebhooksJSONCSV exportDashboard
GET /v1/incidents/RPT-7741-LBN-077Sample record
{
  "id": "RPT-7741-LBN-077",
  "reported_at": "2026-09-01T11:23:07Z",
  "location": {
    "lat": 33.8871, "lon": 35.5012,
    "country": "LB"
  },
  "category": "security_conflict",
  "status": "verified",
  "confidence": 0.88,
  "source": "local_reporter",
  "media_attached": true,
  "verification": [
    { "step": "live_unverified", "at": "11:23:07Z" },
    { "step": "ai_triage", "checks": "5/5" },
    { "step": "analyst_verified" }
  ]
}
Illustrative values · field names to match the live API
Products
one crowd. three intelligence layers.

Every product is powered by the same asset: a global network of vetted local reporters submitting verified incidents the moment they occur. The same data feeds Crowd Threat, Crowd Survey, and Crowd Signal, each calibrated for a different analytical need.

Shared foundation

All three products are built on the same verified incident data. Subscribe to Crowd Threat, Crowd Survey, or Crowd Signal, or combine them for the full intelligence stack.

Book a Demo
Global Reporter Network

200+ local reporters.
every corner of the world.

Our crowd isn't a database or an algorithm. It's a global network of real people, vetted and financially accountable, submitting verified incidents from the communities where they live. When something happens, they're already there.

The Proof
0%
Before they occur

Threats recorded before they have even happened: planned demonstrations, mobilisations, and pre-incident activity captured by reporters already embedded in those communities.

0%
Within 2 hours

Further threats captured within two hours of onset, when most intelligence platforms are still silent or scraping recycled feeds.

0+
Vetted reporters

And expanding. Every addition extends coverage into corners no algorithm, desk analyst, or satellite feed can reach.

Verification
from noise
to verified signal.
in minutes.

Every alert that leaves our platform has been through this. Raw signal from a reporter on the ground. AI triage. Human corroboration.

RAW SIGNAL
Signal received · coordinates unknown · source unverified
AI TRIAGE
Coordinates resolve · category assigned · timestamp locked
CROSS-REFERENCING
Reporter trust confirmed · 3 sources corroborated
VERIFIED
Alert fires · 94 minutes ahead of any public wire
94 minutes ahead of Reuters wire
STANDBY
CT · VERIFY · 2.1
SIGNAL ID???-????-???-????
COORDINATES██.████°N ██.████°E
TIMESTAMP████████ LOCAL TIME
CATEGORYUNKNOWN
SOURCEUNVERIFIED
DESCRIPTION
████████ ██████ ██ ██████████ ████████ ██ █████ ████████ ████████ ██ ████
CONFIDENCE---
UNVERIFIED
Intelligence Cycle
the data advantage
at every stage.

Three products. One crowd. The same verified data feeds different intelligence layers, each calibrated to where you are in the cycle.

◆Ground truth layerPHASE 3/5

High-volume verified incidents with precise geolocation and timestamps. The data your competitors are scraping. We generate it first.

01
Pre-escalation
02
Onset of instability
03
Active incident
04
Post-incident
05
Strategic horizon
Live Feed
No signal
Nothing in open sources
Low volume
Noise vs. escalation unclear
Ground truth
High-volume verified incidents
Declining
May mask ongoing instability
Historical baseline
Regional risk by asset class
Stability Vector™
↓ Alert · T−14d signal
↑
Leading indicator
Stress before incidents appear
↑
Confirms escalation
Security & sentiment drop together
↓
Participation falls
Negative scores confirm severity
↑
Recovery tracker
Real stability, not just quiet
★
Stability Vector™
Quantified country risk scores
Trader Product
↓ BEARISH9% YES
▲ 12 PP implied delta▲65 min edge
↗
Position before consensus
Survey divergence flags early. Enter before price moves
✓
Confirm the move
Threat + Survey convergence kills false starts
▪
Manage peak risk
Incident density shows when impact tops out
↘
Exit before the crowd
Survey flags secondary escalation risk early
☰
Build the model
Human-sourced data no other provider has
· Verified incident data
· Stability Vector™
· Trader intelligence
Crowd Threat: local eyes on global threats
Integrations
where does it sit in your stack?

Crowd Threat is a complementary data layer, not a replacement. Here's how different teams put it to work alongside what they already use.

Existing TI Platforms

Already using a threat intelligence platform? Crowd Threat's API sits alongside it as a complementary verified incident layer, covering the ground-level events that scrapers and aggregators miss.

Prediction Market Tools

Crowd Signal maps verified incident data directly to live geopolitical prediction markets, providing the information asymmetry layer that public information sources cannot supply.

Crisis & Emergency Management

Crisis management platforms and emergency response teams use the real-time feed to detect and respond to incidents in protected zones, with verified ground-truth rather than social media noise.

Risk & Insurance Underwriting

Political risk underwriters use Crowd Survey's Stability Vector as a leading indicator for country risk exposure, and Crowd Threat incident data as the evidentiary layer for event-driven claims.

Analytics & Data Science

Data science teams and analytical platforms ingest our high-volume, real-time incident stream as training data or input signals for predictive models and situational intelligence tools.

News & Media Monitoring

Newsrooms and wire services use Crowd Threat for early detection of breaking incidents in under-reported regions, identifying stories before they surface in any public channel.

Full REST API · Webhook support · JSON / CSV export · Custom field mapping

Get Started
see the data in action.

Request a personalised demo and we'll walk you through the use case most relevant to your team: GSOC monitoring, prediction market alpha, political risk, or API integration.

Contact
contact@crowdthreat.com
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The Spire
Pilgrim Street
Newcastle upon Tyne
NE1 2DS
United Kingdom
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